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Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 20.2% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 53.9% | +2.0 |
| Fire Erupting | 13.5% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +4.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.0% | 7 | 1-4-2 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 33.3% | -8.4 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.7% | +14.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.5% | -15.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.5% | +4.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 54.5% | +2.9 |
| Rogue | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.0 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Wind Neos | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 38.3% | -18.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Water Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card-quantity differences observed in the mirrors — every mirror used an identical decklist.